Building robust portfolios in rocky markets
When it comes to equity performance, the rising interest rates impact isn’t as straightforward. History has shown us that higher interest rates increase borrowing costs, and weaken consumer demand. This can weaken returns for companies who are significantly indebted and rely on strong consumer demand. Supply chain disruptions and distribution constraints have also been a significant factor which could take years of investment and increased capacity to fully resolve. Even with these circumstances, our experts at Irish Life Investment Managers and J.P. Morgan Asset Management have a generally positive outlook. Corporate earnings have remained strong, and many analysts still expect global growth to remain positive in 2022. However, this outlook is clouded by uncertain macro conditions and conflict in Europe. Our experts suggest a focus on more defensive equity strategies and those with dividend-paying abilities. So far this year we’ve seen defensive equities such as consumer staples and value stocks outperform more recent winners like technology stocks, which are likely to remain under pressure from a combination of rising rates and valuations.
Enhance returns with asset allocation strategies
Asset allocation continues to be a critical component of portfolio construction, that if done correctly, can enhance returns, mitigate volatility and provide downside protection. In the current market environment, it’s that downside protection that becomes increasingly important. According to a frequently cited study by Roger G. Ibbotson and Paul D. Kaplan, asset allocation explains about 90% of the variability of a funds returns over time.
Active management also plays a considerable role in fund performance. Active managers can be more dynamic in terms of security selection and sector allocation. When it comes to fixed income, managers can also make tactical changes to duration and other attributes, tilt assets away from economically sensitive sectors and move to more defensive sectors when markets are volatile. This tactical advantage allows for more agility, which could help provide stability and success in a more volatile environment. While passive management gained popularity in the low-rate, high-growth environment pre-2020, advisors should consider using a blend of both passive and active approaches.
Alternative investments also represent another attractive and rapidly growing asset class that has a place in many modern portfolios. Most alternative strategies focus on delivering a diversified return stream that has less dependence on market direction and may come with lower volatility when compared to a traditional balanced portfolio.
The value of advice
At the end of the day, one of the best ways to help your clients see the performance they need is to be their behavioral coach and confidante. Investing is an emotional experience, and when markets are volatile it can lead to worry or panic that drives some clients to withdraw their investments at the worst possible time. You can address your clients concerns by educating them on your portfolio construction and how you have expertise they can leverage in times like this. They have goals, which you want to help them achieve, and by rocking the boat at an inopportune time they could be disrupting their future.
