20 Worst States for Excess Q3 Working-Age Mortality
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Working-age U.S. residents had a much higher death rate in the third quarter than they did in the comparable period in the year before the COVID-19 pandemic began.
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says 184,633 people in the 25-64 age group died from all causes in July, August and September.
The death count for the 25-64 age group was 25% lower than the count for the third quarter of 2021, but it was still 11.4% higher than the count for the third quarter of 2019.
The numbers for working-age people are similar to the numbers for the general population. For the U.S. population as a whole, the third-quarter death count was 10.6% lower than the count for the third quarter of 2021, but 13.6% higher than the count for the third quarter of 2019.
States Leading the Pack
For a look at the states with the biggest increases in all-cause mortality for people ages 25 through 64, see the gallery above.
The state-level changes range from a decrease of 10.3%, in Rhode Island, up to an increase of nearly 50%, in another New England state.
For data on all 50 states and some other jurisdictions, such as the District of Columbia, see the table below.
The CDC Statistics
The numbers here come from the CDC’s Weekly Counts of Deaths by Jurisdiction and Age reports. Some states report the data that populates that spreadsheet more quickly than others.
The numbers reflect many causes of death other than COVID-19 itself, including the effects of the pandemic on the economy and the health care system, and the effects of COVID-19 vaccinations and treatments.
The figures for the general population imply that, if mortality trends for the third quarter continued throughout an entire year there might be about 360,000 extra deaths, on top of the pre-pandemic average of about 2.7 million.
For working-age people, the third-quarter figures imply an impact of about 90,000 extra U.S. deaths per year, on top of a pre-pandemic average of about 790,000 deaths of U.S. working-age people per year.
U.S. Working-Age Deaths in the Third Quarter
Change between…
Q3 2019
Q3 2020
Q3 2021
Q3 2022
Q3 2019 and Q3 2021
Q3 2019 and Q3 2022
Q3 2021 and Q3 2022
Alabama
3,446
4,485
6,005
3,802
74.3%
10.3%
-36.7%
Alaska
290
428
592
386
104.1%
33.1%
-34.8%
Arizona
3,583
5,700
5,515
4,456
53.9%
24.4%
-19.2%
Arkansas
1,941
2,510
3,304
2,171
70.2%
11.8%
-34.3%
California
15,062
20,335
21,825
18,019
44.9%
19.6%
-17.4%
Colorado
2,484
2,941
3,377
2,845
36.0%
14.5%
-15.8%
Connecticut
1,594
1,814
1,943
1,741
21.9%
9.2%
-10.4%
Delaware
550
564
613
589
11.5%
7.1%
-3.9%
District of Columbia
433
608
603
489
39.3%
12.9%
-18.9%
Florida
11,433
15,104
22,058
12,793
92.9%
11.9%
-42.0%
Georgia
5,708
7,815
10,298
6,192
80.4%
8.5%
-39.9%
Hawaii
594
614
919
545
54.7%
-8.2%
-40.7%
Idaho
656
937
1,202
848
83.2%
29.3%
-29.5%
Illinois
5,917
6,804
7,431
6,441
25.6%
8.9%
-13.3%
Indiana
3,861
4,518
5,309
4,234
37.5%
9.7%
-20.2%
Iowa
1,509
1,709
1,837
1,459
21.7%
-3.3%
-20.6%
Kansas
1,414
1,631
2,001
1,548
41.5%
9.5%
-22.6%
Kentucky
3,240
3,899
4,944
3,436
52.6%
6.0%
-30.5%
Louisiana
3,235
4,109
5,531
3,188
71.0%
-1.5%
-42.4%
Maine
695
801
934
898
34.4%
29.2%
-3.9%
Maryland
3,128
3,601
3,531
3,038
12.9%
-2.9%
-14.0%
Massachusetts
2,999
3,109
3,322
3,178
10.8%
6.0%
-4.3%
Michigan
5,454
6,184
6,499
5,960
19.2%
9.3%
-8.3%
Minnesota
2,159
2,540
2,696
2,335
24.9%
8.2%
-13.4%
Mississippi
2,210
3,005
3,810
2,327
72.4%
5.3%
-38.9%
Missouri
4,058
4,524
5,892
3,833
45.2%
-5.5%
-34.9%
Montana
490
613
810
672
65.3%
37.1%
-17.0%
Nebraska
797
925
1,029
878
29.1%
10.2%
-14.7%
Nevada
1,691
2,256
2,887
1,976
70.7%
16.9%
-31.6%
New Hampshire
600
598
723
697
20.5%
16.2%
-3.6%
New Jersey
3,829
4,204
4,471
3,988
16.8%
4.2%
-10.8%
New Mexico
1,351
1,603
1,980
1,429
46.6%
5.8%
-27.8%
New York
4,745
5,357
5,882
5,371
24.0%
13.2%
-8.7%
New York City
3,282
3,691
3,966
3,857
20.8%
17.5%
-2.7%
North Carolina
5,699
7,127
9,032
6,662
58.5%
16.9%
-26.2%
North Dakota
311
347
415
364
33.4%
17.0%
-12.3%
Ohio
7,253
8,334
9,355
7,659
29.0%
5.6%
-18.1%
Oklahoma
2,469
2,853
3,995
2,727
61.8%
10.4%
-31.7%
Oregon
1,935
2,199
2,871
2,270
48.4%
17.3%
-20.9%
Pennsylvania
7,001
7,731
8,292
7,194
18.4%
2.8%
-13.2%
Puerto Rico
1,615
1,797
1,900
1,806
17.6%
11.8%
-4.9%
Rhode Island
476
497
501
427
5.3%
-10.3%
-14.8%
South Carolina
3,189
4,247
5,184
3,728
62.6%
16.9%
-28.1%
South Dakota
387
486
514
391
32.8%
1.0%
-23.9%
Tennessee
5,007
6,384
8,324
5,702
66.2%
13.9%
-31.5%
Texas
13,403
19,446
24,295
15,202
81.3%
13.4%
-37.4%
Utah
1,083
1,365
1,629
1,242
50.4%
14.7%
-23.8%
Vermont
202
264
337
298
66.8%
47.5%
-11.6%
Virginia
3,886
4,766
5,377
4,540
38.4%
16.8%
-15.6%
Washington
3,121
3,672
4,537
3,891
45.4%
24.7%
-14.2%
West Virginia
1,419
1,659
2,134
1,716
50.4%
20.9%
-19.6%
Wisconsin
2,694
3,102
3,359
2,974
24.7%
10.4%
-11.5%
Wyoming
229
291
392
251
71.2%
9.6%
-36.0%
TOTAL
165,817
206,103
246,182
184,663
48.5%
11.4%
-25.0%
MEDIAN
44.9%
10.4%
-19.2%
(Image: Thinkstock)
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