Climate risk rate increases pit carriers against regulators
The conflict between insurers and regulators that was in the spotlight after recent wildfires in California and Hawaii is just one example of a larger tug of war between them over climate risk and disaster coverage issues.
Robert Arnold, managing director, Charles Taylor.
Climate disaster losses are escalating in cost, and insurers have become more aggressive in efforts to contain costs and exposures, according to Robert Arnold, managing director at Charles Taylor, a claims solutions advisory firm.
State insurance regulators limiting rate increases drives carriers to raise deductibles, as well as ceasing coverage in markets or not adding new insureds in markets, Arnold added.
“When [regulators] limit the amount of increase that they can have, or what they can do, it’s forcing the insurers to put larger deductibles to offset it,” he said. “Huge catastrophe deductibles, wind or hail deductibles, wildfire deductibles – all these things are getting put into the policy that limit the amount of exposure for the insurance company, but it also adversely affects the policyholder too. They have to have a huge amount of damage in order to recoup any funds to put themselves back together.”
If insurers can’t get a higher rate, Arnold said, “they’re trying to underwrite it so that they don’t get the big exposure there. That leaves the policyholder in the middle. They’re paying an increased rate for less coverage, and it really puts them into a bad situation.”
Accessing information about climate disaster risks is more difficult for insurance consumers than it is for insurers, as Birny Birnbaum, director of the Center for Economic Justice, said in remarks at the NAIC/NIPR Insurance Summit in Kansas City on September 13.
Birny Birnbaum, director of the Center for Economic Justice.
“I’m a little baffled by why we are putting this all on consumers, when it’s very difficult for consumers to have an understanding of what their wildfire risk is if they’ve never experienced a wildfire in their lives. But the insurance companies do it as their business,” he said. “Regulators and insurers are in a far better position to actually identify the risks and take the steps to mitigate the risks and partner with consumers to actually address that.”
With hurricanes, for instance, major carriers have more than 40 years of historical data to draw on to determine risk, stated Marlene Dailey, a senior analyst at RSM US Financial Services. However, because wildfires have become more extreme, there isn’t as much historical data to predict risk, she said, “making it more challenging when it comes to trying to price or assess risk from an underwriting perspective.”
Marlene Dailey, financial services senior analyst, RSM
In Florida, private home insurers have folded or stopped offering coverage, leaving that burden to the state-sponsored Citizens Property Insurance Corp. “The last resort has now become the first resort in many cases,” Dailey said. “The state-funded insurance is not meant to be the first resort. It is meant to insure those properties that are more risky to insure. However, with the current state of where we’re at with insurance companies, either not writing or [leaving] Florida, there’s no choice but to use the last resort.”
Citizens has to assess whether it has enough funds in reserve, and special assessments could be a possibility, according to Dailey.
Another possibility, particularly for floods that can result from hurricanes, may be parametric insurance. Hiscox recently partnered with FloodFlash, a parametric flood insurance provider, to underwrite catastrophe coverage.
There are flood risk models available in the market, according to Tom King, alternative risk line underwriter at Hiscox. Using available models and data points, some from the U.S. federal National Flood Insurance Program, makes it possible to accurately determine the risk and exposure.
Kirstin Marr, chief analytics officer, Insurity.
Certain insurtech platforms that can be used, or are being used to determine that an insurer should cease coverage in a market, could also be used to pinpoint areas that might not otherwise get coverage, and then provide coverage, as Kirstin Marr, chief analytics officer at Insurity, a software and analytics provider serving carriers, brokers and MGAs, pointed out.
“Instead of completely pulling out of California or completely pulling out of Florida, they can just make sure that they’re distributed in their portfolio accumulation, so there’s not too much risk in one area,” Marr said. “That would allow commercial businesses and homeowners to still get property coverage and protect the financial performance of the carriers who are insuring those risks.”
